Why do volatility stocks/ETFs (TVIX, VXX, UVXY) trend down in the long-term? - KamilTaylan.blog
13 June 2022 16:39

Why do volatility stocks/ETFs (TVIX, VXX, UVXY) trend down in the long-term?

Why is VXX always down?

If futures are priced above the spot, this means that futures are falling towards the spot market and roll yield is therefore negative. Roll yield is why VXX is losing money almost all of the time – it is holding futures which are priced above the spot level of the VIX, and through time, these futures converge.

Why does UVXY decay?

Due to the roll and contango effects in futures, over time the price of UVXY will decay. This means it is ill-suited to a long-term buy and hold strategy and is instead suited to very short-term bets on price volatility. Traders can also take the opposite of UVXY, which is the SVXY.

Is UVXY a long-term hold?

The data shows that on average, UVXY would have lost investors about 70% of value per year. Roll yield remains the primary explainer of long-term returns in UVXY and why investors should avoid this product.



About UVXY.

Symbol Last Price % Chg
UVXYPre 15.75 16.04 0.06% 1.84%

Nov 13, 2020

What is the difference between UVXY and VXX?

VXX (ETN) and UVXY (ETF) both track the daily percent return of a portfolio comprised of the two front-month VIX futures contracts. UVXY is slightly different than VXX because it is 2x leveraged. This means that UVXY will return twice the percentage of VXX on a given day.

Can I hold VXX long term?

It’s also likely a good choice to see investments in inverse VIX ETFs as an opportunity for short-term gains, rather than for long-term buy-and-hold strategies. The volatility of these ETFs is too extreme to make them a suitable long-term investment option.

What is the most volatile ETF?

Volatility ETFs

Symbol ETF Name 1 Year
VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN -31.32%
VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF -37.32%
SVOL Simplify Volatility Premium ETF -1.51%
VIXM ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF 7.77%

How quickly does UVXY decay?

The combination of losses due to the 1.5X structure and contango losses add up to typical UVXY losses of 10% per month (70% per year).

Is UVXY a good ETF?

However, UVXY has one key advantage: it performs extraordinarily well when the broad stock market tanks. This is the case because the ETF establishes a 1.5-time long leveraged position in short-term VIX futures. The VIX, also known as the fear index, is a metric that rises when volatility in the market is high.

What is difference between VIX and VXX?

The VXX is an Exchange Traded Note (ETN) that tracks the VIX short-term futures. To be more specific, the VXX is a portfolio composed of the front two month /VX futures that bear continuously changing weights.

What is ETF UVXY?

UVXY offers daily leveraged exposure to short-term VIX futures, designed to capture the volatility of the S&P 500, in a commodity pool wrapper. As a geared product with daily resets, UVXY is designed as a short-term trading tool and not a long-term investment vehicle.

How is VXX structured?

The VXX, launched in 2009, became the most traded of these products, based on assets and volume. Structured as an exchange-traded note (ETN), the VXX (and VXXB) trades like an exchange-traded fund (ETF) or a stock. However, ETNs are unique in that they are structured as debt instruments with specified maturities.

How do you play UVXY options?

Quote:
Quote: And uvxy the main difference between these two instruments is the amount of daily returns they're trying to replicate in the vix. Instruments that they're tracking. So for the vxx.

How many times has UVXY split?

Take the ProShares Ultra VIX Short Term Futures ETF (UVXY). Since March 2012, according to Splithistory.com, an online database of splits and reverse splits on U.S. stock exchanges, the fund has reverse-split nine times. An investment of $450,000 when the fund began trading in 2011 would be worth less than $100 today.

Can you hold UVXY?

Put simply, holding UVXY is not the same as holding the VIX and the longer you hold the instrument, the greater the odds that you will see returns which depart from the VIX’s returns. In the above chart, I have calculated the correlation between UVXY’s underlying index and the VIX over a number of timeframes.

How do I get long volatility?

For long volatility exposure, buying VIX futures is always a better and cheaper way vs. using S&P 500 options strategies. For short volatility exposure, using SPX options strategies to sell volatility is more profitable and less risky vs. holding a short position in VIX futures or using SVXY/similar ETNs.

How do you profit from volatility?

10 Ways to Profit Off Stock Volatility

  1. Start Small. The saying ‘go big or go home,’ while inspirational, is not for beginning day traders. …
  2. Forget those practice accounts. …
  3. Be choosy. …
  4. Don’t be overconfident. …
  5. Be emotionless. …
  6. Keep a daily trading log. …
  7. Stay focused. …
  8. Trade only a couple stocks.

What is the dragon portfolio?

The Dragon Portfolio is the brainchild of investor Chris Cole, the chief information officer of Artemis Capital. The portfolio is the result of Artemis’ 2020 research paper titled “The Allegory of the Hawk and the Serpent”.

What is the best way to play the VIX?

The primary way to trade on VIX is to buy exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and exchange-traded notes (ETNs) tied to VIX itself. ETFs and ETNs related to the VIX include the iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) and the ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (SVXY).

When the VIX is high it time to buy?

“If the VIX is high, it’s time to buy” tells us that market participants are too bearish and implied volatility has reached capacity. This means the market will likely turn bullish and implied volatility will likely move back toward the mean.

When should I invest in Uvxy?

Traders look to purchase UVXY when they think there will be a sharp increase in volatility. Buying UVXY equates to, more or less, direct exposure to the two most active (near-term) VIX futures. As long as VIX futures are in contango and volatility doesn’t increase, UVXY will lose money every month.

How do you hedge with VIX?

To implement such a hedge, the investor buys near-term slightly out-of-the-money VIX calls while simultaneously, to reduce the total cost of the hedge, sells slightly out-of-the-money VIX puts of the same expiration month. This strategy is also known as the reverse collar.

Is buying VIX a good hedge?

VIX calls are a good choice if an investor anticipates trouble further down the road because they still benefit from higher volatility if the market shoots up instead of crashing. Buying put options or shorting the S&P 500 works best right before a crash occurs.

Is VIX trading profitable?

Profit and Protection



Investors who own VIX futures or ETFs tend to suffer constant losses for months or even years before experiencing an increased volatility event that makes the trade profitable. Admittedly, this can be an emotionally difficult way to trade.

Is Vxx a good investment?

Therefore, trading VXX provides more profit potential than simply shorting the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). Since VXX has a tendency to “overshoot” on declines in its benchmark, the Standard & Poor’s (S&P) 500 Index, when the S&P 500 rallies again, VXX typically sells off in a dramatic fashion.

Is VXX a buy today?

Today VXX ranks #17934 as sell candidate. Get $10 when you deposit $100* in your eToro account.

Are ETFs volatile?

ETFs, like mutual funds, are often lauded for the diversification that they offer investors. However, it is important to note that just because an ETF contains more than one underlying position doesn’t mean that it is immune to volatility. The potential for large swings will mainly depend on the scope of the fund.